PredictionWolf is an affiliate site. This page explains exactly what that means, how we earn money, and what it means for the content on this site. This disclosure is provided in compliance with the FTC’s guidance on endorsements and testimonials.
What is an affiliate site?
An affiliate site is one that earns commissions when readers sign up to (or purchase from) third-party services through tracked links. When you click a link on PredictionWolf and sign up to Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, or another platform we cover, the platform pays us a small commission. You pay nothing extra — the commission comes out of the platform’s marketing budget, not your pocket.
Which links are affiliate links?
Most links pointing to prediction market platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Robinhood, etc.) are affiliate links. Specifically:
- Links containing query parameters like
?via=,?ref=,?referral= - Promo codes we publish that are tied to our referral accounts (BOOST20, SKENS for Polymarket, for example)
- Sign-up buttons and “Claim bonus” CTAs
Internal links to other pages on PredictionWolf.com are not affiliate links — they’re just normal site navigation.
How much do we earn?
It varies by platform. Typical commissions for prediction market platforms range from $5 to $50 per successful signup, depending on the platform’s referral program. Some platforms pay a flat amount; others pay a percentage of the new user’s trading activity over time.
The bonus you receive isn’t reduced by our commission. Polymarket pays us a finder’s fee separately from your $20 bonus. You get the same bonus you’d get if you went directly to Polymarket.com without using our link.
Does this bias our coverage?
Affiliate relationships create an incentive to oversell. We try to compensate in three ways:
We cover platforms we don’t earn from. PredictIt, for example, doesn’t have a referral program but we cover it anyway because it’s relevant. Some platforms we’d be paid to promote, we don’t recommend because they’re poor products.
We list drawbacks prominently. Every platform review includes the downsides — fees, restrictions, limitations — not just the upsides. If Polymarket has 9 restricted states, we say so on every relevant page.
We don’t accept payment for editorial coverage. If a platform wants to be reviewed, they can submit information for our consideration, but we don’t accept money for positive coverage. The only money in our relationship with platforms is the standard referral commission, paid the same way to any affiliate.
What we won’t do
- Publish codes we know don’t work. Some affiliate networks pay for clicks regardless of whether bonuses credit. We won’t take that bait.
- Hide that something is an affiliate link. Every page with affiliate content has a disclosure at the top. The links themselves use
rel="nofollow sponsored"per Google’s guidelines. - Recommend platforms we haven’t used. We use the platforms we cover. If we recommend Polymarket, it’s because we have accounts and have tested the experience.
- Take down legitimate criticism for affiliate reasons. If Polymarket’s fees go up or their interface gets worse, we say so even if it hurts our conversion rates.
What you should do with this information
Read our coverage knowing that we benefit financially when you sign up through our links. Compare our claims to those from sources without affiliate relationships (platform documentation, regulatory filings, independent reviews). If our information is wrong, we want to know.
If you’d prefer to sign up without using our affiliate links, you can go directly to the platforms (Polymarket.com, Kalshi.com, Manifold.markets, Robinhood.com) and bypass us entirely. The bonuses are available either way. We’d appreciate the support, but we understand if you’d rather not.
Specific affiliate relationships
As of May 2026, PredictionWolf has affiliate relationships with the following platforms:
- Polymarket (referral codes: BOOST20, SKENS)
- Kalshi (various media partner codes available)
- Manifold Markets (referral link program)
- Robinhood (via the standard Robinhood referral system)
Other platforms we may add affiliate relationships with: PredictIt, Interactive Brokers ForecastTrader, FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings Predictions. We’ll update this list as relationships change.
FTC compliance
This disclosure is intended to comply with FTC requirements regarding endorsements and testimonials. The relevant guidance is available at ftc.gov. If you believe we’re falling short of these standards in any way, please contact us so we can correct the issue.
Questions
If you have questions about our affiliate relationships, advertising practices, or anything else on this page, contact us directly.